Russian warplanes
bombed Syrian rebel-held areas in northwestern Syria and government
forces pounded a suburb of the capital on Thursday, ahead of a planned
halt to fighting which rebels predicted Damascus and Moscow would
ignore. The
"cessation of hostilities" agreed by the United States and Russia is due
to take hold on Saturday morning from midnight. But opponents of
President Bashar al-Assad say they expect the government to press on
with its advance, by branding opposition fighters al Qaeda militants
unprotected by the truce. Damascus
has agreed to the deal, as has the main opposition alliance, though it
is only ready to commit for two weeks given its deep reservations. But
the government and its allies will be permitted to forge on with strikes
against jihadist militants of Islamic State and an al Qaeda-linked
group, the Nusra Front. The
government also says the agreement could fail if foreign states supply
rebels with weapons or insurgents use the truce to rearm. Fighting
in the final days before the truce has focused on Daraya, a besieged
suburb of the capital held by fighters the government describes as Nusra
militants but rebels say are from other groups, and on the northwest
near the Turkish frontier. Four
months of Russian air strikes turned momentum Assad's way in a
5-year-old war that has killed more than 250,000 people, created the
world's worst refugee crisis and seen Islamic State fighters declare a
"caliphate" in Syria and Iraq. The
multi-sided civil war has drawn in most regional and global powers, with
Western countries, Arab states and Turkey forming a coalition against
Islamic State while also backing rebels fighting to overthrow Assad.
Russia and Iran support him. BARREL BOMBS The
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a British-based group that
monitors the conflict, said army helicopters dropped at least 30 "barrel
bombs" on Daraya on Thursday. Assad's opponents say the army drops oil
drums filled with explosives and shrapnel to cause indiscriminate harm
in rebel areas. The government blamed groups linked to Nusra for firing mortars into residential areas of Damascus, killing at least one person. A spokesman for rebels in southern Syria predicted Daraya would be the first place where the truce would collapse. "They
want to exploit the ceasefire and focus their fire on Daraya to take
it. This will be the first breach. We won't accept it," said Abu Ghiath
al-Shami, spokesman for the Alwiyat Seif al-Sham group, part of a rebel
alliance in the south. A Syrian military source also signaled that Damascus would not cease fighting in Daraya. "There is evidence
that the ones there are Nusra Front. They found documents, books, flags
that point to the Nusra Front being in Daraya," the military source
said. "In any place where there is Nusra Front, we will continue
operations." Fighting has also
escalated in the last two days in the northwestern province of Latakia,
where Free Syrian Army groups backed by Assad's foreign enemies operate
close to Nusra fighters and other jihadists. "The
regime wants to try to retake all of northern Latakia before Feb. 26,"
said Fadi Ahmad, spokesman for the First Coastal Division rebel group,
speaking to Reuters from the area. VERY FIERCE BATTLES "The
battles are very fierce. Yesterday, there were heavy battles in the
part of rural Latakia that is still with us," he said, adding he did not
expect the government or its Russian allies to abide by the truce:
"Three minutes ago I saw a Russian plane in the sky hitting us here in
rural Latakia." The Syrian military source also said operations were taking place in the northern Latakia area. Recapturing areas
of Latakia province at the Turkish border has been a top priority for
Damascus and its allies since Russia began its strikes. It is one of
several areas where the government has made major gains this year. Rami Abdulrahman, director of the Observatory, confirmed heavy air strikes in northern Latakia on Wednesday and Thursday. He
predicted the presence of the Nusra Front and like-minded groups would
give the government grounds to press on with fighting there under the
agreement. One of the main purposes
of the cessation of hostilities is to allow aid to reach civilians,
especially in besieged areas cut off from supplies. A
U.N. air-drop of food to 200,000 people in the besieged city of Deir
al-Zor failed on Wednesday, with all 21 palettes dropped by parachute
either damaged, landing in no-man's land or unaccounted for, a U.N.
World Food Programme spokeswoman said. U.N.
advisor Jan Egeland nevertheless said the cessation of hostilities
could rescue the civilian population from "the abyss" and end the "black
chapter" of sieges. Assad told
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday his government was ready
to help implement the halt to fighting. The two leaders nevertheless
stressed the importance of an "uncompromising" fight against Islamic
State, the Nusra Front and other jihadists not party to the truce. U.S. President
Barack Obama on Wednesday said he was cautious about raising
expectations, but if some progress were made that would lead to a
political process to end the war. "THERE'S NO PLAN B" Russian
officials have seized on comments by Secretary of State John Kerry that
Washington would consider a "Plan B" if the ceasefire failed. Russia's
RIA news agency quoted Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov saying there was
no such "Plan B". Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova accused "some U.S. officials" of trying to "sabotage" the ceasefire plan. However,
after more than five years of failure to negotiate any end to fighting,
and with Russia's intervention having had a decisive impact on the
ground, it was not clear what sort of fallback plan Washington might
consider if the truce fails. Bob
Corker, chairman of the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a
Republican critic of the Obama administration, said of Putin: "I think
he understands there's no 'plan B'." The Russians were "now dominating," Corker told MSNBC. "It's totally in Russia's hands now." United
Nations Syria envoy Staffan de Mistura said he would announce on Friday
a date for a new round of talks between Syria's warring parties. The
last talks were called off this month before they got under way, with
rebels saying they could not talk while government troops advanced and
Russia bombed. The Syrian Kurdish
YPG militia told Reuters on Wednesday it would abide by the plan to halt
fighting but reserved the right to respond if attacked. The YPG is an
important partner in the U.S-led coalition fighting Islamic State, but
has also been fighting other insurgent groups in northwestern Syria near
Aleppo, and is considered an enemy by NATO member Turkey. Turkey,
which has fired across the frontier at the YPG, said it would not
consider itself bound by the cessation of hostilities if it were
threatened by either the YPG or Islamic State. (Reuters)
Russia, Syrian army pound rebels ahead of fighting halt

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