Writing by Abdullah Al Ghadawi; Translation by Rana Abdul
(Zaman al-Wasl)- The issue of forming a military council in Syria was not proposed on table before last June. Zaman al-Wasl rushed to reveal the features of this council after Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoygu’s visit to Syria and meeting with Bashar al-Assad in Hmeymim military airbase in Latakia province.
The regional and international movement reveal more serious ideas than any other time for a new settlement in Syria. The movement though does not seem to be in the interest of the revolution after the Turkish mood changed and the receding international interest in the Syrian crisis. The regime advances in Aleppo and perhaps Daraya in the countryside of Damascus in the next few days, so what is the path of the crisis today?
The Negotiations Committee meets on Friday in Riyad to discuss the international movements conducted by Riyad Hijab. On July 20, Coordination Committee and National Coalition meet in a workshop in Brussels to draw upon the transitional period. If the international mood improved after the meeting of the US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Russian counterpart, maybe another round of consultations will take place depending on the plan of UN envoy Steffan De Mistura.
According to information obtained by Zaman al-Wasl, it is expected that unofficial committee consisting of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran and United States will value the Syrian case and transfer the outcomes of the meetings to those countries with new proposals for a solution.
Meanwhile, reliable sources expected that Russia will speed up formation of the military council which Zaman al-Wasl talked about before. Russia will push for an international satisfactory agreement to reach an initial settlement in which power on the ground will play the prominent role. From here, we can understand the regime escalation and trying hard to capture as much as possible in Aleppo and Daraya.
According to information of Zaman al-Wasl, the Russians and despite their resistance to Aleppo battle for which the regime is trying hard to win, they gave the regime a last chance to control the land. After that, Russia will not give power to regime to control battles on the ground.
-Obstacles of Iran-
Last week, American Administration denied an agreement with Russian related to a transitional period in Syria. Taking it from the American stance, America denying this agreement is an evidence it happened. The Americans are used to denying all they plan with Russians in Syria. Despite that the two parties did not consult any regional countries with their agreement, we cannot say it is not ripe enough. Iran has not been involved in this agreement and it was clear by the harmony between Iran and regime in pushing for Aleppo battle to blow up any settlement that does not grant Assad victory.
There has been a wave starting since two months and that is the increased loss of the Iranians in Syria especially in Aleppo. According to security analysists, this exhaustion of Iranian forces is a result of Russian retreating in the field. The aim is to make Iran more reasonable in a solution that will not make Assad the biggest winner, but the constant is Assad remaining in power.
We do not rule out that there will be a power conflict between Russia and Iran in the next stage, but it will not be a long one for sure. The international powers started for real working for a settlement especially that Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to win time of Barack Obama in office before not guaranteed republican or democratic administration is in office. The two ministers of the countries have built trust and harmony in relation to the Syrian issue.
-Winners and Losers-
Anyway, Assad will not be the winner and also the opposition. The international regional agreement’s outcomes will be implemented on the ground on the condition that terrorist forces will be targeted like al-Nusra Front and ISIS and to stop the fighting between Syrian forces only.
As it seems these understandings started to be implemented on the ground. Jordan succeeded in putting out fights on the southern front and Daraa’s rebels stopped fighting for nearly a year.
If Turkey did the same in the north investing in the barbaric Russian bombings on Aleppo and Idlib, the lines of the new settlement will be clearer. The eastern region will remain a hell in which International Coalition participates in striking ISIS.
The new two months will reveal the outcome of the conflict in Syria. There will be a new vision supported by International will to decrease the conflict there. If the international community succeeds, we will be in front of a new Assad who is able to cope and live with opposition in unsatisfactory conditions for Syrians. there will be no loser or winner after 5 years of the bitter conflict.
(Zaman al-Wasl)- The issue of forming a military council in Syria was not proposed on table before last June. Zaman al-Wasl rushed to reveal the features of this council after Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoygu’s visit to Syria and meeting with Bashar al-Assad in Hmeymim military airbase in Latakia province.
The regional and international movement reveal more serious ideas than any other time for a new settlement in Syria. The movement though does not seem to be in the interest of the revolution after the Turkish mood changed and the receding international interest in the Syrian crisis. The regime advances in Aleppo and perhaps Daraya in the countryside of Damascus in the next few days, so what is the path of the crisis today?
The Negotiations Committee meets on Friday in Riyad to discuss the international movements conducted by Riyad Hijab. On July 20, Coordination Committee and National Coalition meet in a workshop in Brussels to draw upon the transitional period. If the international mood improved after the meeting of the US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Russian counterpart, maybe another round of consultations will take place depending on the plan of UN envoy Steffan De Mistura.
According to information obtained by Zaman al-Wasl, it is expected that unofficial committee consisting of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran and United States will value the Syrian case and transfer the outcomes of the meetings to those countries with new proposals for a solution.
Meanwhile, reliable sources expected that Russia will speed up formation of the military council which Zaman al-Wasl talked about before. Russia will push for an international satisfactory agreement to reach an initial settlement in which power on the ground will play the prominent role. From here, we can understand the regime escalation and trying hard to capture as much as possible in Aleppo and Daraya.
According to information of Zaman al-Wasl, the Russians and despite their resistance to Aleppo battle for which the regime is trying hard to win, they gave the regime a last chance to control the land. After that, Russia will not give power to regime to control battles on the ground.
-Obstacles of Iran-
Last week, American Administration denied an agreement with Russian related to a transitional period in Syria. Taking it from the American stance, America denying this agreement is an evidence it happened. The Americans are used to denying all they plan with Russians in Syria. Despite that the two parties did not consult any regional countries with their agreement, we cannot say it is not ripe enough. Iran has not been involved in this agreement and it was clear by the harmony between Iran and regime in pushing for Aleppo battle to blow up any settlement that does not grant Assad victory.
There has been a wave starting since two months and that is the increased loss of the Iranians in Syria especially in Aleppo. According to security analysists, this exhaustion of Iranian forces is a result of Russian retreating in the field. The aim is to make Iran more reasonable in a solution that will not make Assad the biggest winner, but the constant is Assad remaining in power.
We do not rule out that there will be a power conflict between Russia and Iran in the next stage, but it will not be a long one for sure. The international powers started for real working for a settlement especially that Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to win time of Barack Obama in office before not guaranteed republican or democratic administration is in office. The two ministers of the countries have built trust and harmony in relation to the Syrian issue.
-Winners and Losers-
Anyway, Assad will not be the winner and also the opposition. The international regional agreement’s outcomes will be implemented on the ground on the condition that terrorist forces will be targeted like al-Nusra Front and ISIS and to stop the fighting between Syrian forces only.
As it seems these understandings started to be implemented on the ground. Jordan succeeded in putting out fights on the southern front and Daraa’s rebels stopped fighting for nearly a year.
If Turkey did the same in the north investing in the barbaric Russian bombings on Aleppo and Idlib, the lines of the new settlement will be clearer. The eastern region will remain a hell in which International Coalition participates in striking ISIS.
The new two months will reveal the outcome of the conflict in Syria. There will be a new vision supported by International will to decrease the conflict there. If the international community succeeds, we will be in front of a new Assad who is able to cope and live with opposition in unsatisfactory conditions for Syrians. there will be no loser or winner after 5 years of the bitter conflict.
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