The rise of Islamist groups fighting Syria's
Western-backed rebels has emboldened the Syrian government and will make it
harder to extract concessions from Damascus at any peace talks, a US official
said on Monday.
The United States hopes to bring moderate
elements of the Syrian opposition together with the government at a peace
conference tentatively expected next month in Geneva to try to end a
two-and-a-half year civil war in which more than 100,000 people have died.
The talks face great obstacles, including
divisions within the opposition, fighting between rival rebel groups and
President Bashar al-Assad's reluctance to give up power.
Speaking ahead of a gathering of ministers from
some of the so-called Friends of Syria group seeking to bolster the moderate
opposition, a senior US State Department official said that recent gains by
Islamist groups would make the task harder.
Islamist groups such as Jabhat al-Nusra and the
Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) have taken territory in parts of
the north near the border with Turkey in recent weeks, forcing the Free Syrian
Army (FSA) opposition force that is backed by some Western and Arab states to
fight on two fronts.
"To me, the biggest single problem is that
the regime probably feels more confident now because of the Islamic State of
Iraq in Levant's actions on the ground," said the US official, who spoke
to reporters on condition of anonymity.
He said this had forced the FSA to send fighters
north to confront these groups, weakening it against the government.
"That has to give the regime comfort and
confidence, and it will make the task of extracting concessions from the regime
at the negotiating table more difficult," the official said.
Kerry: 'Situation on
ground irrelevant'
US Secretary of State John Kerry told reporters
that events may have moved in Assad's direction since he and Russian Foreign
Minister Sergei Lavrov announced plans for the peace conference in May, but he
sought to play this down.
"The situation on the ground is irrelevant
to the question of the implementation of Geneva 1," Kerry said, referring
to a 2012 UN-backed document that sought to end the war by getting the two
sides to choose a transitional government.
"It doesn't matter whether you are up or
whether you are down on the battlefield, the objective of Geneva 2 remains the
same ... a transition government arrived at by mutual consent of the
parties," he added.
"I don't know anybody who believes that the
opposition will ever consent to Bashar al-Assad being part of that
government," he said. "If he thinks he is going to solve problems by
running for re-election, I can say to him ... this war will not end."
In a confident and animated performance on a
Syrian television interview, Assad indicated he had no intention of quitting,
saying he might run for re-election in 2014.
"Personally, I don't see any obstacles to
being nominated to run in the next presidential elections," Assad
toldSyria's Al Mayadeen TV when asked if he thought it was suitable to hold the
election, as scheduled, next year.
A number of officials, including Arab League
chief Nabil Elaraby, have said they expect the "Geneva 2" conference
to be held on Nov. 23, though the United States, Russia and the United Nations
have all said no date has been officially set.
Kerry will travel to London on Tuesday for a
meeting of the so-called "London 11" nations seeking to bolster the
Syrian opposition—to try to lay the groundwork for Geneva 2.
Britain, Egypt, France, Germany, Italy, Jordan,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates and the United States
will discuss the agenda for the meeting and how to help the opposition prepare
for it, the US official said.
While Washington has said it is open to the
possibility of Iran, which has supported Assad, coming to a Geneva conference,
Kerry said it was hard to see Tehran playing a constructive role without its
backing the idea of a transitional government.
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