We have, in the first part of this report,
presented the theory that Syrian opposition accept the most, which assumes
Syrian regime and the Syrian-Iranian allies support and finance Islamic State
of Iraq and al-Sham “ISIS” and uses it as a Trojan Horse to defeat the
revolution and defame the rebels.
Despite the logic in this theory, nevertheless
there are other assumptions about funding “ISIS”.
The Gulf support, either governmental or
non-governmental, for ISIS is another logical theory and Syrian regime adopts.
Especially on the ground of the well known support for al-Qaeda by some Gulf
countries. The other theory is the self-fund, which is explained by ISIS’s
attempts to control Border crossing points, especially Syrian-Turkey and
Syrian-Iraqi crossing points.
The fund and support provided by Gulf Countries,
especially Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, the regime’s supporters believe and
circulate. However, even without deep analysis of the official media in Qatar, especially Al-Jazeera,
the Qatari TV channel, it is clear that al-Jazeera ignores ISIS in its reports,
and shows interest and glorifying of al-Nusra front achievements. Even the
written media in Qatar, criticize ISIS and its actions.
Moreover, it seems that there is no benefit for
Qatar from ISIS’s action, where it tends to control the liberated areas, and
fights other battalions, besides keeping the regime away from its fire. All
that contradicts with Qatar’s goals in supporting the Syrian Revolution.
The same can be said about the official media in
Saudi Arabia, where it systematically condemn ISIS, and there is no advantages
Saudi Arabia can get from prolonging the war, and supporting a radical
organization in Syria.
The role of other Gulf countries seems to be
minimum and not effective.
On the other hand, there is Gulf
non-governmental support for ISIS by businessmen and affluent people who like
al-Qaeda principles; they support ISIS in many ways.
Abdel bari Atwan, the former Editor for al-Quds
al-Arabi newspaper, confirmed that many Arab and Gulf businessmen, strongly
believe in al-Qaeda principles and support ISIS
directly and indirectly in top
secret ways.
Abdel Bari Atwan, pointed out that funding
al-Qaeda members does not need that great deal of money, as they are not
demanding and usually live simple life.
Self-fund
theory seems to be a complementary for the non-governmental support theory.
Al-Qaeda strategy for self fund, is considered
the strongest logically with ground evidence.
Al-Hayat newspaper from London, published a
study the newspaper became aware of, which
“Abo Mohammed al-Fateh al-Joulani” presented to “Abo Bakr al-Baghdadi”
the head of ISIS in Iraq, in the mid of 2011, after a tour al-Joulani had in
the countryside of middle and northern Syria. As a result, al-Nusra front was
established, and al-Joulani became the head of it.
Later on, a disagreement between al-Joulani and
al-Baghdadi happened, and al-Nusra front separated from ISIS in Iraq, then
al-Baghdadi formed the Syrian branch of ISIS in Syria, which announced its
presence in Syria this year.
The most important points of the study was al-Joulani's expectation about the
difficulties of the the international military interference in Syria. He
thought that Syria would become a battle field for strategic conflict between Shiites
and Sunni.
In the mentioned study, al-joulani suggested
controlling the costal and northern parts of Syria to provide fund and
financial support. The latest attack on the coastal areas some Islamic groups,
including al-Nusra front had few months ago, support this theory.
On the other hand, it seems that ISIS has
separated completely from al-Nusra front, and it tries to control the border
crossing points in the north of Syria with Turkey and Iraq. Besides providing
fund and financial support, ISIS aims from that
to control delivering weapon, passing fighters and depriving other
battalions from resources, especially those ISIS does not trust, as it wants to
prevent repeating what happened in Iraq when al-Sahwat with western support
fought al-Qaeda and defeated it in many occasions.
A report published by Sky News Arabic, reported
that ISIS control a wide area in Syria, starts in the East at the Syrian Iraqi
borders, and reached to Dier Ezzor, Raqqa, Jarablus, Menbij, al-Bab, Azaz, and
North Idlib near Syrian Turkish borders. The latest fighting between the North
Banner and ISIS in Azaz was part of ISIS's plans to control the border areas.
ISIS is not supported by the Sunni allies which
is Turkey part of, and closing one of the crossing point between Turkey and
Syria after being controlled by ISIS, is a strong evidence for that. beside,
the threat of suicide bombing inside Turkey followed by adopting the attack
on the security centre in Erbil, the
capital of Iraqi Kurdistan by ISIS,
because their leader al-Barazani expressed his intention to fight Jihadists in
Syria.
Another source to provide fund, ISIS tries to
control the oil field, where it with al-Nusra front control al-Safa city near
al-Hasakah, after severe fighting with PKK and regime forces. Smuggling petrol
could be a great stand-by source to support ISIS in case the recent support and
sources stopped.
In Summary we can say that self-fund is the strongest theory logically
acceptable, with tangible evidence, to
explain the ISIS’s source of support, while the Gulf governmental support is
not acceptable logically at all. On the
other hand, the non-governmental support could be true, with previous
experience in Afghanistan, Iraq, Bosnia and Yemen.
Supporting ISIS by the Syrian-Iranian allies,
still strongly logically acceptable theory, with many supporting events on
ground, but there is no solid evidence to support it.
Read the original Article in Eqtsad, the Busness online newspaper of Zaman Alwasl; Translation by Yusra
Ahmed
Comments About This Article
Please fill the fields below.