(Reuters) -
Tunisians elect a new parliament on Sunday as the prospect of a full
democracy finally comes within their reach, four years after they cast
out autocrat Zine El-Abidine Ben Ali. Tunisia has fared
better than neighbors who also ousted their own long-ruling leaders
during the Arab Spring uprisings, largely avoiding their polarization
and chaos even though it faced similar tensions over Islamist versus
more secular rule. But
where the role of Islam in politics dominated the first election in
2011, now jobs, economic opportunities and Tunisia's low-intensity
conflict with Islamist militants are the main concerns of a country
heavily reliant on foreign tourism. The
moderate Islamist party Ennahda and rival secular alliance Nidaa Tounes
are favored to win most seats in Sunday's vote, only the second free
election in Tunisia since Ben Ali fled into exile. But
the large number of other parties, from conservative Islamist Salafist
movements to Socialists, means a coalition government is the probable
outcome. The 217-member assembly will choose a new prime minister. Ennahda
won most seats in the first election and led a coalition before a
crisis over their rule and the murder of two secular leaders forced them
into a deal to step aside for a caretaker premier. Criticized
for economic mismanagement and lax handling of hardline Islamists,
Ennahda leaders say they learned from their mistakes in the early years
after the revolution. But
Nidaa Tounes, which includes some former members of the Ben Ali regime,
see themselves as modern technocrats able manage economic and security
challenges after the messy period of Islamist-led rule. "Ennahda
are the only party we can rely on after the revolution, despite the
mistakes they made," said Hatem Kamessi, sports teacher attending an
Ennahda rally in Tunis. "After the first election, they didn't have the
experience." JOBS AND GROWTH Among
those secular parties looking for a spot in the new assembly are some
led by former Ben Ali officials, who portray themselves as technocrats
untainted by the corruption and abuses of his regime. Their
return reflects the kind of compromise and consensus that has helped
Tunisia avoid confrontations seen in Libya and Egypt where disagreements
over the role of Islamists and former regime officials have erupted
into violence. That
compromise and a proportional electoral system mean the two main players
will seek deals with minor partners to form a majority in parliament
and have a stronger say in forming the new government. "In
this context, the two biggest parties - Ennahda and Nidaa Tounes - will
probably set aside their ideological differences and work together to
form a national unity government," Riccardo Fabiani at Eurasia Group
said. New government will
need to foster growth and jobs for the many Tunisians who feel left out
of any economic benefits from the revolution. But they will also need
to take on the tough austerity measures to cut public subsidies. Tunisia
expects growth of between 2.3 and 2.5 percent this year, but needs to
continue slashing subsidies to trim the budget deficit and impose new
taxes, the kind of reforms requested by international lenders. Just
as urgent is tackling the threat of hardline Islamist militants who
have grown in influence after the fall of Ben Ali, including the
extremist group Ansar al-Sharia, which is branded a terrorist group by
Washington. Tunisian
authorities had warned militants would seek to disrupt the elections. On
Friday, Tunisian forces killed six people, including five women, after a
standoff with an Islamist militant group on the outskirts of Tunis. The
raid was the latest operation in Tunisia's crackdown on militants.
Tunisians vote for new parliament, hope for full democracy
Reuters
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