(Reuters) - Oil
prices rose strongly again on Monday, tacking on a total of 11 percent
over two straight sessions, as some investors bet that a bottom had
formed to the seven-month long rout on the market even as others
remained pessimistic. Benchmark Brent and
U.S. oil futures swung in a band of about $4 a barrel, one of their
widest in weeks, as near-term technical signals indicated further gains
while fundamental data continued to weigh on the market. "We
could get a pretty good bear market correction here to really mess up
all the new shorts," said Walter Zimmerman, chief technical analyst at
United-ICAP in Jersey City, New Jersey. "In
fact, at this point, I would rather just take profits on shorts and
resell if the price low is broken, then just adding to shorts. I
absolutely do not want to be adding to shorts down here." Zimmerman said Brent could rise to over $61 a barrel and U.S. crude
above $59 as oil prices snap out of oversold territory for the first
time in months on concerns that falling U.S. oil rig counts may rein in a
market glut. The spread between Brent and U.S. crude widened to above $5 a barrel, its widest since November. "I
don't think anything's changed fundamentally, except for the psychology
of the market," said Chandravir Ahuja, an analyst at Kolmar Americas
Inc in Bridgeport, Connecticut. "We're moving a lot more on headlines
that we probably would on a normal day." Brent settled up $1.76, or 3.3 percent, at $54.75 a barrel, swinging between a session high of $55.62 and a low of $51.41. U.S. crude closed up $1.33, or 2.8 percent, at $49.36 a barrel, moving between $50.56 and $46.67. The
rally came despite oil services company Genscape estimating a stock
build of 2.3 million barrels in the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point
for U.S. crude last week, adding to already record-high inventories in the United States. A
U.S. refinery strike, which theoretically meant higher crude supplies
in the market, along with disappointing U.S. consumer spending and
manufacturing data, also failed to keep oil prices down. Prices
jumped about 8 percent on Friday, the biggest daily gain since 2009 for
Brent, after data showed the number of U.S. oil drilling rigs had
fallen the most in a week in nearly 30 years. Month-end covering by
traders taking profits on earlier short positions added to the rally. Speculators
in Brent had raised their net long positions by 1,056 contracts to
143,039 in the week to Jan. 27, exchange data showed on Monday, as some
took the view that prices were stabilizing from the sell-off that began
in the summer.
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