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The Syria Vote: Why Obama Wins If He Loses

Sometime this week, Congress will begin voting on a resolution that would support President Obama’s proposal to launch limited strikes against the military forces of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad as retribution for their use of chemical weapons.  Although  Washington  is...

Can Obama Make the Case for an Attack on Syria?

With America's credibility tarred, persuading anyone other than France and Britain will be difficult. It was perhaps the greatest "Perry Mason moment" in the history of the UN Security Council. When U.S. Ambassador Adlai Stevenson challenged his Soviet counterpart, Valerian Zorin, to...

The risk of taking on Syria

So the U.S. launches a military strike. Then what? As the Obama administration and the  U.S. military  plot military action against Syria, they should be spending just as much time — and arguably more — considering what happens next. Once Washington crosses the threshold of...

Has Egypt killed Syria?

In the first two weeks of Ramadan, 1,262 Syrians were killed. The news didn’t make headlines and people were not agitated. This makes us wonder if what’s happening in Cairo killed the Syrian revolution or if the latter is fading into the background like what happened with Iraq after explosions...

Egypt overthrown shakes Islamists in the region

 The military's overthrow of Mohammed Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood's fall from power in Egypt have sent Islamist parties around the region scrambling to preserve gains made in the Middle East and North Africa as a result of the Arab Spring uprisings. The stunning reversal has...

Inching Into Syria

In the border towns where Syrian rebels recuperate and resupply, the buzz is that the long wait for Barack Obama may be near an end. The excitement is not the result of the White House announcement on June 13 that the United States will supply light weapons to the groups seeking to...

What Is Obama REALLY Doing in Syria?

I'm in Oslo to give a seminar and a public lecture at the Norwegian Institute for Defense Studies, and I'm looking forward to hearing how world politics looks from a Nordic perspective. I haven't been to Norway since 2009, when my visit coincided with the Norwegian Nobel Committee's surprising...

You were wrong to support Hezbollah

Sheikh Hamad bin Jassem, Qatar’s prime minister and foreign affairs minister, is not the only one who said: We supported Hezbollah when it fought Israel but we are now against it because it’s fighting the Syrian people. Many are today justifying their past stances using this same excuse. With...

America’s isolated stance on Syria

American President Barack Obama’s  decision to provide the Syrian opposition with light arms and ammunition  is not considered a significant shift. It’s certainly not a strategic move either, but a limited tactical one that does not live up to the level of military escalation...

We Never Learn: Syrian Lessons from Bosnia

Srebrenica, 26 May 2013. I am staring at almost eight thousand tombstones. Males between twelve and eighty years old have been massacred because they believed in the wrong God. It all happened in a few days. We all know the story of Srebrenica, but when you stand in the middle of the graveyard,...

What if al-Assad prevails?

Let’s imagine a world in which Bashar al-Assad wins a military victory, remains in power, and defies the world to deal with him. Because, unfortunately, it appears to be an all too plausible scenario. An  influx of Hezbollah fighters  from Lebanon, and support from Iran’s...

The empire of Hezbollah

Wednesday, 29 May 2013 Octavia Nasr When Israel invaded Lebanon in 1982, I was a teenager, growing up in a peaceful household that was neither political nor sectarian. Although Hezbollah  was born then as a resistance movement to Israel’s presence in Lebanon, the...