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Syria's political solution needs 6 more months: OPINION

By Adnan Abdelrazak

(Zaman Al Wasl)- Since Turkey changed its policy towards Syria the revolution, from threats and the possibility of reaching a confrontation for the sake of Syrians freedom and to bring al-Assad down, even if through the military branches inside, to the “more than friends” following the Turkish President’s visit to Russia and what followed it from Turkish, Iranian and Israel closeness.

 Events are moving at a horrifying speed at times as if the new entity “Iran, Turkey, and Russia” are in a hurry to complete what can be imposed on the area “of a reality” on the ground before the American administration is awakened with the arrival of a new president to the white house to return if only some of its intentional insomnia, Mr. Black.

If we do not let loose our imaginations and desire to analyze and we move from trusted news issued by Turkish officials especially we can, after a simple connecting process and logical analysis, discern to begin with that the aim of bringing down Bashar al-Assad is no longer part of the Turkish state’s priorities, and Washington and those behind in the NATO alliance are no longer Turkey’s sole haven, after Ankara was next to London, the countries within the alliance obedient to the United States, and that perhaps through them, it waved the Incirlik stick at Moscow at time and at others the hammer of the of the missile shield in the areas of its former influence.

To be brief, Binali Yildirim, the prime minister of Turkey, the owner of the famous line “less enemies more friends,” said on Saturday, “Ankara will play a more effective role in dealing with the Syrian issue in the coming six months, insisting on his country’s refusal to divide up Syria on an ethnic basis.”

The noticeable in what Yildirim said to journalists in Istanbul is that there can be no role for the president of the Syrian regime Bashar al-Assad in the future of the country, indicating at the same time that al-Assad may play a role only in the transitional leadership.

Perhaps a defender of the Turkish role may explain the statement, as happened before during a statement Yildirim made before the Justice and Development bloc in parliament last week as unusual because in it was some diplomacy and mystery, which can be read in a differently meaning despite what it lacked of indications to al-Assad’s fall and the confirmation on his remaining in the transitional phase.

In a meaning of the meanings, there is an agreement between Ankara and Moscow on bringing down the Syrian regime, and not place his stepping down within the political discussions and debates, and if there is a debate today about the possibility of al-Assad being nominated in the post-transitional phase and leaving the issue up to the Syrian people as Moscow planned and promoted all along.

And perhaps from the logic of analyzing from events this opinion will be an important axis for discussion on table for Ruhani and Erdogan during the Turkish president’s expected visit to Tehran in a few days which was established in the Iranian minister of foreign affairs during his visit to Ankara last week and completed by the Turkish minister of foreign affairs during a brief visit to Tehran on Friday.

These accords, we do not say agreements, were made clear to al-Assad the inheritor of what considered him of them at least, so he expressed his attitude of the new exchanges sending a love letter to Ankara by his airplanes bombing the Kurdish People’s Protection Units in the city of al-Hasakah for the first time since he saw them as an ally, even if only with a limited job and tasks, handed over and received areas from them as part of the charade that is even funnier than that of receiving Palmyra from the Islamic State.

To return to the reliable Turkish news to avoid leaving the first say for emotions, as the Turkish deputy prime minister, Nurettin Canikli said that his country will work in the coming period to develop economic relations with the Syrian state.

Canikli clarified in statements to Reuters on Saturday evening that his country’s economic relations with Syria and Iraq decreased in the previous years indicating the possibility to improve these relations and develop them economically with the state and the Syrian people.

In conclusion, from a political launch point far from wishes and desires it is possible to say, well done to Turkey without a doubt, as it managed through diplomacy to change its position from an enemy and target to an effective partner pushing away from its land and people years of lean that may have continued for a long time given the reality of Farsi stalking and the Russian bear’s roistering. Perhaps the level of the exchange expected with Moscow 100 million USD and with Tehran 50 million are part of these reasons and results though the more dangerous and precious is protecting Turkey’s geography from infiltration which may have reached the stage of tearing it apart of an open internal war.

From a political launch point as well, there is no doubt that Turkey has conditions that empower it economically and militarily, especially as the failure of the coup in July, that it forces on the table of the new allies that exceed the economy and the Turkish torrent as it risked Turkey and Turkey actually risked investments and millions in trade, but it did not and will not risk leaving itself open in front of Kurdistan Syria that will extend its evil to the dream of Kurdistan Turkey that has become closer to reality with the control over Manbij and the signs of Washington evading its commitment to get the Kurds out, so al-Assad’s card was played to determine his fate and perhaps restore some relations with it.

But and here is the reigns of the horse, where are Syrians, the opposition especially regarding what has happened, where is the politicians who can deal with the new alliance, and they are- or it is assumed- holding the cards on the ground, and are more influential and heavier than those possessed by others.

In answer, with much sadness and sorrow, there are no politicians of such caliber or to be more fair, the politicians who are not puppets were not allowed to appear, and they have no authority over the ground and those on it… perhaps the opposition, as anyone representing Syrians to solve their issue must without doubt rely on forces on the ground which he can influence through support lines or even airplane bombing if necessitated.

In any case the features of a solution have started to appear in the horizon perhaps its start six months from now as is being said, and perhaps its sun will actually rise from Moscow, if Washington does not intervene if only by dividing up the new cake of destroyed Syria and flipping the table on those sitting at it in an uncounted time.

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